Key Highlights:

• 2025 Sneak Peek: Riding his brand-new 2025 Honda, Hunter Lawrence put an end to Chase Sexton's winning streak in Moto 1. Not only did Lawrence set the fastest average lap time in the moto, but he also beat Sexton head-to-head. He was the only top 450 rider to score above 90 points in both motos on LITPro’s Consistency Scoring.
  
  
• Slow is Smooth, Smooth is Fast: Haiden Deegan achieved the highest 10-Lap Consistency score of any rider this season in Moto 2 with a 97.5. This shows that he was comfortable maintaining a steady pace. He was also the only top 250 rider to score above 90 in Moto 1.
  
  
• Qualifying ≠ Racing: The track was noticeably slower compared to timed qualifying. Chase Sexton had the fastest qualifying lap at 2:11.943, and the top nine 450 qualifying times were all quicker than the best time in 450 Moto 1, which was 2:16.034.
  
  
• Turning Heads: Before his crash that turned to disaster, Chance Hymas set the fastest lap time of any class in 250 Moto 1 at 2:15.034 and averaged 2:17.152 per lap—once again, the fastest of any class.
  
  
• A Wild Ride for the Cowboy: Aaron Plessinger recorded 8 of the 15 fastest lap times in Moto 2 and passed 11 riders to finish 4th. With a better start, Plessinger clearly had the potential to challenge for the win.  

Unadilla, one of America’s most legendary motocross tracks, has been the heart of American motocross racing since 1969. This iconic venue, inspired by natural layout European designs, made history as the first American track to host the Motocross des Nations in 1987. Each year, Unadilla adds another chapter to the thrilling story of pro motocross.

450 Analysis:

Looking at results for Unadilla tell only part of the story. On paper, it might look like a familiar story—Chase Sexton taking the overall win, Hunter Lawrence in second, and a toss-up battle for third—but the real excitement was in the details. Hunter, riding his brand-new 2025 Honda, had the upper hand throughout Moto 1. Though Chase Sexton was hot on his heels every lap, he couldn’t quite make the pass. Hunter didn’t just fend him off; he broke Chase’s winning streak that had stretched back to Moto 2 at Southwick.

But victory was fleeting for Hunter. An uncharacteristic rough start in Moto 2, combined with Chase nailing the holeshot, gave Sexton the early lead. Chase set a blazing pace lap 1, building a 10-second gap that he held onto with ease. Meanwhile, Hunter fought his way up from the back, passing returning veterans Cooper Webb and Ken Roczen as well as Anderson and Ferrandis to secure second place. Aaron Plessinger, Dylan Ferrandis, and Jason Anderson duked it out for third overall, but a late pass by Hunter on Ferrandis handed Plessinger the final podium spot.

Track Breakdown:

The track maps above depict which rider was fastest on average per moto in each of the 5 track sections. The 'yo-yo' affect was on clear display in Moto 1. While Sexton eliminated seconds off the gap in segments 1 and 2, as soon as they dropped down the hill following segment 3, Hunter would immediately build that gap back as Sexton struggled there all day. The duo would repeat this cat and mouse game the entirety of the moto. Moto 2 was much more interesting.

Typically when Sexton get's out front and sets mind-boggling lap times, he dominates the track maps as well. However, in Moto 2, he was only faster on average in Segment 1. Sexton also wasn't even the fastest rider on the track for most of Moto 2, as he just cruised comfortably in the lead. While the rest of the top 5 battled for most of the moto, Sexton was able to conserve energy and as his early lap times suggest could clearly step it up if needed.

The table below highlights the top rider in each segment, as well as their consistency score for each section. Typically when breaking down the track into segments, we rarely see riders with high consistency scores. It's always interesting that riders are more inconsistent on individual segments, but then can knock out lap times that are within tenths of second of each other.

Moto 1: 

SEG	Rider	Average Time	Fastest Time	Consistency Score
1	C. Sexton	41.188	40.395	86.3
2	C. Sexton	20.315	19.888	81.4
3	H. Lawrence	20.008	19.496	84.5
4	H. Lawrence	19.672	19.129	81.2
5	C. Sexton	35.656	35.148	93.5

 Moto 2:

SEG	Rider	Average Time	Fastest Time	Consistency Score
1	C. Sexton	42.113	40.835	86.3
2	D. Ferrandis	20.447	20.106	85.7
3	H. Lawrence	20.248	19.776	84.5
4	J. Anderson	19.860	19.128	74.9
5	H. Lawrence	38.485	35.998	89.1

 

 

Lap Time Breakdown:

 

The histogram above shows the lap times for both motos. On average, lap times in Moto 2 were about 1.5 seconds slower. Typically as the race slows, consistency increases. However, lap times in Moto 2 were much less consistent, with a wider spread of times across the board.

• Chase Sexton clocked the fastest lap times in both motos—2:16.034 in Moto 1 and 2:16.391 in Moto 2.
• In Moto 1, the median consistency score was an impressive 91.0, meaning most riders were incredibly consistent. But that score dropped to 86 in Moto 2, as more riders struggled with the track conditions.
• The track was noticeably slower compared to practice. Chase’s fastest qualifying lap was 2:11.943, and the top 9 qualifying times were all quicker than the best time in Moto 1.

450 Moto 1 Top 5 Average Lap Times 

RIDER	MOTO	Average Time	Fastest Time	LAP 99	Consistency
H. Lawrence	M1	2:17.361	2:16.326	2:14.45	95.7
C. Sexton	M1	2:17.534	2:16.034	2:14.61	94.2
A. Plessinger	M1	2:19.393	2:18.202	2:15.93	95.6
J. Cooper	M1	2:19.477	2:17.540	2:16.10	91.4
J. Anderson	M1	2:20.395	2:17.978	2:16.33	91.2

450 Moto 2 Top 5 Average Lap Times 

RIDER	MOTO	Average Time	Fastest Time	LAP 99	Consistency
C. Sexton	M2	2:19.816	2:16.391	2:16.02	88.0
H. Lawrence	M2	2:20.079	2:18.282	2:16.90	91.0
A. Plessinger	M2	2:20.221	2:17.525	2:16.90	89.2
D. Ferrandis	M2	2:20.250	2:18.014	2:17.22	89.4
J. Anderson	M2	2:21.551	2:18.199	2:16.83	89.2

 

Overall Performance:

• Hunter Lawrence finally snagged a much-needed moto victory in Moto 1, and he also set the fastest average lap time of the day while being the most consistent. 
• Chase Sexton not only recorded the fastest laps in both motos, but he was also, on average, 0.2 seconds per lap quicker in Moto 2—even though he only had 4 of the 15 fastest laps. Surprisingly, Aaron Plessinger had the most, with 8!

LITPro 10-Lap Consistency Scores:

• After a rough showing at Washougal, Hunter Lawrence bounced back as the season’s most consistent rider. He was the only rider in the top 5 to achieve a 90+ consistency score in both motos, which is even more impressive considering he had to battle past many riders in Moto 2.
• Chase Sexton had the lowest consistency score among the top 5 in Moto 2, which shows how he took a more relaxed approach once he created a gap. After setting the fastest lap by over a second, Sexton eased off, slowing down by nearly 3.5 seconds per lap.

Lap 99 Analysis:

*Lap 99 takes each riders' best segment time regardless of lap and combines them as a theoretical best lap time.

• Jason Anderson showed he had the speed this weekend, but he struggled to put it all together. His Lap 99 time in Moto 2 was the second fastest, even though his actual fastest lap time was the fourth slowest among the top 5.
• In Moto 1, Hunter Lawrence and Chase Sexton had nearly identical Lap 99 times, despite excelling in different sections of the track. Together, they could have created a theoretical best Lap 99 time of 2:13.859.

Lap Time Distribution for Top 10 

The box-and-whisker plot above highlights how inconsistent the riders were in that second moto. While the median consistency score only dropped by 5 points between the motos, the average score fell by 13 points, showing that a few riders really had a tough time in Moto 2. In the graph, the larger the box, the more inconsistent the rider was. We already know that Sexton eased up after securing his lead, but riders like Ken Roczen and Malcolm Stewart really struggled in Moto 2, which is clearly reflected in their inconsistency.

Power Rankings:

Bringing it all together, we can rank the riders based on their performance. The table below highlights the key metrics used to determine the weekend's top riders, which play a big role in shaping the weekly power rankings.

  *Coloring from red-to-green only highlights disparity between top 10 and not representative of the entire field. All of these riders are near the top compared to the rest of the riders. 

Even though Hunter Lawrence grabbed a moto win, Chase Sexton dominated most of the other measurable metrics, earning the top power rating for the weekend with 97.4 points. Hunter was close behind with 95.5 points, and Aaron Plessinger rounded out the podium with 88.9 points. The last four races are used to calculate cumulative power rankings.

Cumulative Power Rankings:

Rank	Rider	Power Ranking	Change
1	Chase Sexton	98.1	NC
2	Hunter Lawrence	93.0	NC
3	Aaron Plessinger	90.7	NC
4	Jason Anderson	88.7	+1
5	Justin Cooper	86.5	-1
6	Dylan Ferrandis	81.2	NC
7	Malcom Stewart	75.1	NC
8	Christian Craig	74.0	NC
9	Harri Kullas	65.9	NC
10	Phill Nicoletti	61.0	NC

 

250 Analysis:

The 250 class was packed with surprises this week. Chance Hymas looked unbeatable in Moto 1, quickly overtaking several riders in the opening corners and built a strong lead. But disaster struck late in the moto when he had a nasty crash. Hymas got back on his bike and, to everyone’s surprise, continued to race. He tried to compete in Moto 2 but had to pull out early.

Tom Vialle had a rough weekend, crashing on the first lap of Moto 1 and failing to score any points. He bounced back in Moto 2 with a solid third-place finish. Meanwhile, Jo Shimoda had a tough time in Moto 1, finding himself buried in the pack. Despite that, he pushed hard and finished fourth. Unfortunately, his second moto mirrored Chance Hymas’s first—Shimoda grabbed an early lead but suffered a severe crash that left him being carted off with his arm in a sling.

The only top riders who had a quiet but productive day were Haiden Deegan and Levi Kitchen. Deegan rode steadily to a 1-2 finish, extending his points lead to 70. He could potentially wrap up the championship after Moto 1 next weekend. Kitchen, finally shaking off his post-supercross slump, rode brilliantly to take the overall win with 2-1 finishes. A special shout-out goes to Jalek Swoll, who surprised himself by securing the final overall podium spot with 6-4 finishes. After several seasons plagued by crashes, Jalek has found a home with Triumph, earning the manufacturer its first-ever podium on American soil.

 

Despite his crash, which turned the race into a disaster for him, Hymas set the fastest lap of the race in any class and was averaging the quickest average lap time by nearly 0.7 seconds. After the crash, his pace slowed considerably, and his average lap times dropped by over 20 seconds, but he stayed strong in segment 5 throughout the race. Thus, the track map for Moto 1 highlights Deegan and Kitchen as they were technically the fastest average riders throughout the entire race, but Hymas was the true king of the track. 

Jo Shimoda had a similar experience in Moto 2, looking dominant before his crash. Unlike Hymas, Shimoda exited the race, so he didn’t have any 'slow' laps to drag down his average. The track map above shows just how much he dominated Moto 2. In fact, Levi Kitchen, who won Moto 2, didn’t top the segment times in any of the five segments, arguably he rode better in Moto 1. Meanwhile, Haiden Deegan saw no need to push in Moto 2, knowing that his 70-point lead was more than enough. Even if he skipped next weekend’s race, he’d still head into the final round with at least a 20-point cushion.

Moto 1:

SEG	Rider	Average Time	Fastest Time	Consistency Score
1	L. Kitchen	40.885	40.066	85.6
2	H. Deegan	20.251	19.726	86.5
3	H. Deegan	20.108	19.608	86.1
4	L. Kitchen	20.160	19.626	81.5
5	C. Hymas	36.269	35.372	42.5*

 Moto 2:

SEG	Rider	Average Time	Fastest Time	Consistency Score
1	J. Shimoda	41.870	41.231	80.9
2	J. Shimoda	19.653	19.367	88.0
3	T. Vialle	20.269	19.453	76.8
4	H. Deegan	20.002	19.407	84.1
5	J. Shimoda	36.214	35.798	85.8

Lap Time Breakdown:

On average, 250 lap times slowed by about 1.8 seconds between motos. However, the 250 riders were noticeably more consistent in Moto 2 compared to the seasoned pros in the 450 class. In Moto 1, the median consistency score for the 250s was 83, but it actually improved in Moto 2, rising to 88. When you compare the histograms between the two classes, you can clearly see that the 250 riders had their lap times more closely grouped together.

250 Moto 1 Top 5 Average Lap Times 

RIDER	MOTO	Average Time	Fastest Time	LAP 99	Consistency
H. Deegan	M1	2:17.857	2:16.014	2:14.51	92.0
L. Kitchen	M1	2:18.061	2:15.922	2:15.24	85.3
M. Anstie	M1	2:19.783	2:15.201	2:14.62	84.2
J. Shimoda	M1	2:20.071	2:17.943	2:17.10	89.6
G. Marchbanks	M1	2:20.454	2:17.147	2:15.64	83.1

250 Moto 2 Top 5 Average Lap Times 

RIDER	MOTO	Average Time	Fastest Time	LAP 99	Consistency
J. Shimoda	M2	2:18.341	2:16.457	2:16.17	90.1
L. Kitchen	M2	2:19.356	2:16.937	2:16.06	92.7
H. Deegan	M2	2:20.234	2:18.094	2:16.51	97.6
T. Vialle	M2	2:21.334	2:16.691	2:16.08	87.9
J. Swoll	M2	2:22.469	2:19.880	2:18.99	90.4

Overall Performance:

• Chance Hymas was unstoppable in Moto 1 before his crash. He not only set the fastest lap time by nearly 0.2 seconds, but his average lap time was also 0.7 seconds faster than anyone else’s.
• Similarly, Jo Shimoda looked unbeatable in Moto 2 before his crash. Once he found his rhythm, his fastest lap time was almost half a second quicker, and he was averaging a full second per lap faster than the competition.

LITPro 10-Lap Consistency Scores:

• Haiden Deegan’s Moto 2 performance was conservative. His outstanding fitness allowed him to score 97.6 on LITPro’s 10-Lap consistency scale, clearly showing that he was comfortably knocking out laps at a steady pace. He was also the only rider in the top 5 to score above 90 in Moto 1.
• Levi Kitchen learned that consistency is key to winning. Although he was riding a second faster per lap in Moto 1, his consistency score was a relatively low 85.3. After resetting and finding his rhythm in Moto 2, Kitchen had the second-highest consistency score and easily put himself in the position to win after Shimoda’s crash.

Lap 99 Analysis:

*Lap 99 takes each riders' best segment time regardless of lap and combines them as a theoretical best lap time.

• Haiden Deegan not only had the fastest average lap time in Moto 1, but he also showed he had the speed to push harder if needed. His 2:14.51 is the second-fastest Lap 99 time of any rider across both classes, only slightly behind Sexton’s best in the 450 class.
• The top 4 Lap 99 times in Moto 2 were all within half a second of each other, highlighting how the riders were pushing their 250 machines to the limit. Likewise the gap in Moto 1 was over 2.5 seconds.

Lap Time Distribution for Top 10

Power Rankings:

*Coloring from red-to-green only highlights disparity between top 10 and not representative of the entire field. All of these riders are near the top compared to the rest of the riders. 

Even though Kitchen and Deegan each took a moto win, Kitchen performed better in most of the other key stats, earning the top score of the day with 96.2 points. Deegan was close behind with 93.3 points. Jalek Swoll rounded out the podium with 83.3 points. A special shout-out goes to Garrett Marchbanks, who nearly claimed third place with 83.2 points in his first ride with Pro Circuit.