Moto Metrics: '25 Arlington

Moto Metrics: '25 Arlington

Key Highlights:

  • Webb's Secret Weapon: Corner speed. He dominated a bowl turn sector across all three races, proving he doesn’t need to be the fastest in the whoops or rhythm sections—he makes it all back in the turns.

  • Serious Star Power: Deegan ran the show in Arlington! He set the fastest lap on 21 of 39 laps—his only real challenger on pace? His own teammate, Cole Davies, who logged 10 fastest laps. But after crashing on the start in Race 2, Davies was never a true overall threat. This was the Deegan Domination Tour.

  • Speed Kills: Sexton quietly had the best consistency score of the night, the only rider to break 90 in all three races. Despite his Race 3 mistakes, dropping his worst two laps reveals he was within a second of his best lap nearly the entire race. That’s why he looked so fast late—he simply wasn’t slowing down like the others.

  • Deegan's Difference Maker: Deegan owned the bowl corner. We all know he’s fast in the turns, but the next closest guy was just 0.02 seconds behind. That's close right? Well if Deegan’s has that kind of speed in every corner, he’s racking up tenths every lap without even trying!

450 Analysis:

Triple Crown racing returned to Arlington, and once again, it delivered the drama! As expected, some familiar themes played out—nailing the start, staying consistent, and adapting to a gnarly track. But beneath the surface, this round turned into a chess match of raw speed versus calculated consistency. Chase Sexton was undeniably the fastest rider on the track, but the Triple Crown format demands three solid races—a challenge that has tripped him up in previous rounds. And when the dust settled, it was Cooper Webb who rose to the occasion, securing back-to-back wins and taking sole control of the championship points lead.

Track Breakdown:

 

In the track map above, we highlight which riders had the fastest average sector times across the three main events. The beauty of Triple Crown racing? We get three chances to analyze who shined where. And sometimes, what the TV broadcast misses is eye-opening.

Did you catch Justin Barcia shredding through the whoops in the last two mains? Or Dylan Ferrandis demolishing the sand section? Even Shane McElrath mastered the first long rhythm lane better than anyone. These moments remind us just how stacked the 450 field is—many of these riders are former 250 champions or race winners, yet even they struggle to stand out in this deep field.

That’s where the top three in points—Webb, Sexton, and Ken Roczen—separate themselves. They might not be the fastest in every section, but they consistently rank in the top five across the board.

One key factor in Webb’s success? His ability to carry speed through corners. This week, we finally had a sector that was basically just a bowl turn, and Webb dominated it. He was the fastest rider in that section across all three races. If he can maintain that speed throughout the track, he doesn’t need to blitz the whoops or rhythm sections the fastest—he’ll make it all back (and more) in the corners.

Main Event 1 Main Event 2 Main Event 3
Sector Rider Avg Time Rider Avg Time Rider Avg Time
1 Barcia 10.22 Ferrandis 10.28 Ferrandis 10.50
2 Roczen 5.31 Sexton 5.27 Webb 5.12
3 Cooper 5.36 Cooper 5.40 Sexton 5.35
4 McElrath 7.26 McElrath 7.37 Stewart 7.36
5 Savatgy 6.36 Sexton 6.27 Anderson 6.43
6 Cooper 6.36 Sexton 6.28 Anderson 6.58
7 Roczen 4.43 Barcia 4.84 Barcia 4.68
8 Cooper 2.80 Webb 2.74 Webb 2.80

 

And speaking of challenges, LITPro’s consistency scoring pinpointed the toughest section of the night—the sand. No surprise there. It took down plenty of riders, including some of the best.

Lap Time Breakdown:

Arlington’s dirt is often praised as some of the best in the series, but after six main events in one night, it didn’t hold up. The lap time chart above shows a clear trend—the fastest laps are coming slower in each consecutive race, proof that riders had to adapt as the track broke down.

This also showed up in the consistency scores. By averaging all rider consistency scores, we can gauge overall track difficulty. Arlington produced some of the lowest scores of the season, and each 450 subsequent main event saw a dip.

While Sexton’s late-race charges were impossible to miss, he was blazing fast the entire night. Out of the 45 timed laps, Sexton was fastest a whopping 22 times! Webb only had 7 for comparison. 

450 Main Event 1:

RIDER Average
Time
Fastest
Time
LAP 99

Consistency

K. Roczen 49.31 48.34 47.21 88.4
J. Cooper 49.40 48.07 46.72 85.0
C. Sexton 49.88 48.71 47.15 94.1
J. Barcia 49.95 49.14 47.36 91.8
J. Hill 49.97 48.46 47.05 83.0

450 Main Event 2:

RIDER Average
Time
Fastest
Time
LAP 99

Consistency

C. Webb 49.43 48.61 47.64 88.4
C. Sexton 49.60 48.45 46.62 90.9
J. Cooper 50.23 48.45 47.73 78.5
J. Hill 50.26 49.02 47.62 89.0
K. Roczen 50.37 49.47 47.41 90.3

450 Main Event 3:

RIDER Average
Time
Fastest
Time
LAP 99

Consistency

C. Webb 49.78 48.40 45.46 81.3
J. Anderson 50.06 49.11 45.74 87.7
J. Barcia 50.10 49.00 44.42 83.8
K. Roczen 50.25 49.14 45.30 88.1
C. Sexton 50.51 48.67 44.37 92.4

Top Performances:

We have to start with Webb. He admitted he wasn’t the fastest, but that’s not what matters in a Triple Crown. It’s about putting yourself in a position to win, which he did masterfully after a rough first race. But was he really slower? He actually beat Sexton’s best lap time in the final main event. Webb just knows how to ride at the pace around him and doesn’t push beyond what’s necessary.

LITPro 10-Lap Consistency Scores:

This take might be controversial, but here it is—Sexton had the best consistency score of the night. Not only that, but he was the only rider to score above 90 in all three races.

This might sound surprising, considering how Race 3 ended for him, but consistency scoring drops a rider’s worst two laps. Take out his stall and tip-over in Race 3, and Sexton’s average lap time improves from 50.51 to 49.43—meaning he was running within a second of his best lap almost the entire race. We saw the same pattern in Race 2.

That’s why Sexton looked so fast late in the races—he wasn’t slowing down as quickly as the others.

Lap 99 Analysis:

*Lap 99 takes each riders' best segment time regardless of lap and combines them as a theoretical best lap time.

Something seems off with the timing in the final race. Notice how Lap 99 times suddenly drop? It’s likely a glitch from the new timing vendor. Ignoring that anomaly and focusing on the first two races, the takeaway is clear—Sexton had the raw speed. He was the only rider to put together a Lap 99 time in the 46s.

So, while Webb took the win, Sexton showed he has the pace. But as we’ve seen, in a Triple Crown, speed alone isn’t enough.

250 Analysis:

Well, that was fun while it lasted, right? Haiden Deegan is finally in the form everyone expected—and he made sure we all knew it. Flashing shades of his Deegan Dominance from his Pro Motocross title run, he looked untouchable. Crash in the sand in Race 1? Didn’t matter—he still won. Bad start in Race 2? Didn’t matter—he won that too. The only race he didn’t win? Race 3, but only because he didn’t need to! Sure, he could have battled Cole Davies for the win, but with Davies out of overall contention, Deegan played it smart and settled for second. With his biggest championship threats struggling, Deegan is now firmly in control of the title chase.

First off—too many Yamahas! Ha. But seriously, Star Yamaha and ClubMX have taken over the 250s this season. Just look at the track maps—Yamaha riders are everywhere! In fact, only Beaumer and Shimoda consistently broke their stranglehold. Deegan was on another level in the technical sections, mastering the tricky rhythm out of the sand and the long rhythm after the start better than anyone. Meanwhile, his teammate Davies owned the whoops—this rookie is quickly proving he’s a future star.

Unsurprisingly, Deegan owned the bowl corner. We all know that Deegan was fast in the corners, but the next closest guy was .02 seconds off. If Deegan has that type of speed in every corner, he's gaining a tenth or two every lap just in the corners. 

Main Event 1 Main Event 2 Main Event 3
Sector Rider Avg Time Rider Avg Time Rider Avg Time
1 Smith 10.44 Deegan 10.55 Shimoda 10.32
2 Beaumer 5.61 Schock 5.35 Deegan 5.26
3 Schock 5.50 Shimoda 5.56 Schock 5.43
4 Deegan 7.20 Deegan 7.30 Deegan 7.31
5 Davies 6.47 Deegan 6.63 Davies 6.34
6 Mosiman 6.46 Mosiman 6.51 Beaumer 6.53
7 Smith 4.67 Davies 4.77 Davies 4.71
8 Smith 2.78 Reynolds 2.85 Turner 2.85


Interestingly, the 250s handled the sand better than the 450s. Their toughest sector? The whoops, based on consistency scoring.

Lap Time Breakdown:

The track really went south for the 250s after Race 1. The track started out pristine in Race 1, but by the later races, lap times dropped off noticeably. However, unlike the 450s, the 250 class actually got more consistent as the track deteriorated. Not only did they match the 450s in consistency, but they actually improved with each race.

250 Main Event 1:

RIDER Average
Time
Fastest
Time
LAP 99

Consistency

J. Smith 49.94 48.58 48.17 80.3
H. Deegan 50.07 48.69 46.75 90.5
C. Davies 50.35 49.26 47.67 89.7
M. Mosiman 50.39 49.66 48.35 89.0
C. Schock 50.46 48.75 47.52 78.1

250 Main Event 2:

RIDER Average
Time
Fastest
Time
LAP 99

Consistency

H. Deegan 50.00 49.12 46.95 86.4
M. Mosiman 50.67 49.55 48.54 85.3
G. Marchbanks 51.35 49.74 48.27 79.9
C. Schock 51.61 50.19 48.91 85.1
J. Shimoda 51.68 50.22 48.52 79.5

250 Main Event 3:

RIDER Average
Time
Fastest
Time
LAP 99

Consistency

C. Davies 50.29 49.31 45.42 84.3
H. Deegan 50.50 49.23 45.40 81.9
J. Shimoda 50.78 49.99 46.42 91.7
J. Beaumer 51.07 49.79 45.61 88.3
G. Marchbanks 51.14 50.29 46.18 86.8

Top Performances:

What more can we say? Haiden Deegan owned Arlington. Out of 39 timed laps, he was fastest on 21 of them. His only real challenger on pace? His own teammate, Cole Davies, who logged 10 fastest laps. But after crashing on the start in Race 2, Davies was never a true overall threat. This was all Deegan.

Shoutout to Coty Schock! Not only did he grab his first-ever podium, but he was in the mix for race wins all night. He’s proving that even without factory backing, he can run at the front—and his lap times show he’s a legitimate podium contender moving forward.

LITPro 10-Lap Consistency Scores:

The 250s outscored the 450s in overall consistency, but not a single rider cracked a 90 in all three races. The highest average? Michael Mosiman at 88, followed by Jett Reynolds (87) and Deegan (86).

Lap 99 Analysis:

*Lap 99 takes each riders' best segment time regardless of lap and combines them as a theoretical best lap time.

Deegan was flying—so much so that he was rivaling Chase Sexton’s Lap 99 times. In the first two races, he was the only 250 rider to dip into the 46s.

 

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