Moto Metrics: '25 Glendale

Moto Metrics: '25 Glendale

Key Highlights:

  • Starts, Starts, Starts: Starts are everything in Triple Crown racing. Cooper Webb and Ken Roczen may have won the first two main events, respectively, but surprisingly, neither set the fastest average lap time. The separation created in the first half-lap was so significant that even the fastest riders struggled to close the gap in a 12-minute race.

  • A Dab of the Foot: Jett Lawrence had an incredible run in the first two races but was forced to miss Race 3 after dabbing his foot on the start. Despite not racing in the final, Jett set the most fast laps of the night with 10 when combining all three races. 

  • Mistake Free: Jordan Smith’s overall victory in the 250 class was earned by keeping a clean and consistent ride. Despite not having the fastest sector times, Smith’s ability to avoid mistakes and maintain composure across all three races secured him the win, and Triumphs first ever supercross overall.

  • A Promising Rookie: Despite battling through the pack in Race 3, Cole Davies recorded the highest average consistency score in the 250s at 87.6. He was followed by overall winner Jordan Smith, further emphasizing the importance of maintaining consistency after the start.

  • Whoop Monsters: Ken Roczen dominated the whoops. He was already the fastest whoop rider through the first three rounds, but he proved it again in Glendale by being the fastest in the whoops across all three main events. Mosiman joined Roczen by setting the fastest Whoop section time in all three 250 main events. 

450 Analysis:

Last Saturday night, Supercross headed to the desert for the first Triple Crown race of the year. With three main events, we had three times the racing to break down. A common theme quickly became apparent. While we know consistency is key to claiming the Triple Crown overall, we also saw just how critical starts are. With only 12 minutes per race, the opening laps proved to be crucial. As a reminder, Cooper Webb won Race 1, Ken Roczen won Race 2, and Eli Tomac claimed Race 3. So naturally, Chase Sexton walked away with the overall victory despite not winning a single race, finishing with 3-3-2 scores.

Track Breakdown:

 

Take a look at the track maps above. These highlight which rider clocked the fastest average time per sector throughout each main event. Most of the track was dominated by the top three riders out of the gate. Racing on an open and clean track is always easier than charging through the pack, which Eli Tomac had to do in two of the three races. But what stood out the most was just how fast Ken Roczen was in the whoops. Coming into Glendale, we already knew Kenny was the top whoop rider in the class through the first three rounds. This weekend, he solidified that reputation by being the fastest whoops rider in all three main events.

While we marveled at Roczen's whoop speed in the main event, it wasn't until he started to quad over the on/off that he really made a speed impact. Check-out Roczen vs. Jett in the whoops (as well as the rest of the track) from qualifying practice using Vision. Try out Vision in app today!

We also learned that timing and scoring had an issue with S8. When riders elected to do the 82' triple into S8, they were about 20' above the timing line, causing their times for S8 to go unregistered. In the last race, timing and scoring decided to combine S8 and S7 to account for this discrepancy.

In the table below, we highlight the fastest average sector times for each main event. Despite the hard-packed West Coast dirt breaking down into square edges and gnarly ruts, riders managed to maintain consistent lap times throughout the night. Glendale was a fast track that left little room for mistakes.

Main Event 1 Main Event 2 Main Event 3
Sector Rider Avg Time Rider Avg Time Rider Avg Time
1 Sexton 6.66 Sexton 6.69 Sexton 6.62
2 J. Lawrence 8.01 Tomac 8.09 Tomac 7.85
3 J. Lawrence 7.76 Sexton 7.73 Webb 7.44
4 Roczen 7.91 Plessinger 7.76 Roczen 7.82
5 Webb 6.91 Tomac 6.91 Tomac 6.82
6 Roczen 6.99 Roczen 6.96 Roczen 7.22
7 Sexton 6.39 Sexton 8.74 Webb 15.39
8 Webb 9.05 Sexton 9.24

 

Using LITPro consistency scoring, we analyzed which track sectors were the most challenging for riders. Once again, the whoops proved to be the toughest, recording the lowest consistency score of any sector. Interestingly, the long rhythm section (S2) was the easiest for riders.

Lap Time Breakdown:

In the lap time histogram above, check out how lap times evolved throughout the night. What’s fascinating is that the fastest lap times improved as the night progressed, even as the track became more difficult. That’s one of the unique aspects of Triple Crown racing—the final race is often the most important, as riders push their hardest.

Even more impressive, rider consistency improved with each race. The median LITPro consistency score in Race 1 was 86.2. By the final main event, it had risen to 89.0. Nearly half of the field consists of former 250 Supercross champions, and a continuing trend this season is just how much depth the 450 class has.

450 Main Event 1:

RIDER Average
Time
Fastest
Time
LAP 99

Consistency

J. Lawrence 1:00.95 59.86 58.53 88.9
C. Webb 1:01.03 1:00.66 1:00.32 95.8
C. Sexton 1:01.13 1:00.26 58.50 89.2
K. Roczen 1:01.70 1:00.52 59.66 88.4
E. Tomac 1:01.93 1:01.25 59.35 96.4

450 Main Event 2:

RIDER Average
Time
Fastest
Time
LAP 99

Consistency

C. Sexton 1:01.17 1:00.06 58.56 87.9
E. Tomac 1:01.24 1:00.01 59.05 86.2
J. Lawrence 1:01.26 1:00.27 58.86 85.1
K. Roczen 1:01.34 1:00.47 1:00.40 89.8
C. Webb 1:02.29 1:01.33 1:00.49 88.6

450 Main Event 3:

RIDER Average
Time
Fastest
Time
LAP 99

Consistency

E. Tomac 1:00.48 59.61 58.98 93.2
C. Webb 1:00.71 1:00.24 58.17 95.0
C. Sexton 1:00.79 59.95 59.20 91.2
H. Lawrence 1:01.59 1:00.67 1:00.16 87.6
K. Roczen 1:01.68 1:00.80 1:00.00 87.8

Top Performances:

Cooper Webb and Ken Roczen may have won the first two main events, respectively, but surprisingly, neither set the fastest average lap time. In Race 1, Jett Lawrence was nearly a tenth of a second faster per lap than Cooper Webb. In Race 2, Chase Sexton was nearly two-tenths of a second faster than Ken Roczen. This reinforces just how important starts are in Triple Crown racing. The separation created in the first half-lap was so significant that even the fastest riders struggled to close the gap in a 12-minute race.

Unfortunately, in the final race, Jett Lawrence dabbed his foot on the start, forcing him to miss the entire race with a suspected knee injury. However, that didn’t mean he wasn’t fast. Despite competing in one fewer race than his championship rivals, Jett still set the most fast laps of the night with 10. Sexton followed closely with 8.

LITPro 10-Lap Consistency Scores:

Looking at all three races combined, Cooper Webb recorded the highest average consistency score at 93.2, followed by Jason Anderson (92.5) and Eli Tomac (91.9). Interestingly, overall winner Chase Sexton had a consistency score of just 89.4 across all three races.

However, the most impressive performance came from Tomac in Race 1. Despite battling through the pack, he posted the highest individual race consistency score of the night with an incredible 96.4.

Lap 99 Analysis:

*Lap 99 takes each riders' best segment time regardless of lap and combines them as a theoretical best lap time.

If we take the best sector times from any race, the ultimate Lap 99 would be 56.9 seconds—nearly three seconds faster than any logged lap time—showing that most riders had room for improvement if they were willing to push the pace. Even still, Chase Sexton and Eli Tomac dominated the best Rider Lap 99 times, as they were the only riders to record a Lap 99 under one minute in all three main events. We suspect Jett Lawrence would have been there too if he was able to race in Main Event 3. 

250 Analysis:

The 250 action was just as exciting as the 450s, filled with both heartbreak and triumph. Championship leader Julien Beaumer had his work cut out for him. Despite nailing the start in the first two races, he found himself on the ground moments later, forcing him to fight back from nearly last in both races. Meanwhile, 17-year-old Kiwi sensation Cole Davies won the first two races, going wire-to-wire against Deegan in Race 2. However, he crashed on the opening lap of Race 3. Despite a determined charge through the pack, the gap was too large to overcome in the 10-minute race, giving the overall victory to Jordan Smith. Smith secured Triumph’s first-ever 250 Supercross win in the manufacturer’s 13th race.

Once again, we see how critical starts are. The track maps above are dominated by the leaders, but it’s a case of “what could have been” for Julien Beaumer. In the only clean race he had (Race 3), he suffered a poor start. However, he was clearly the fastest rider on the track (more on that later). Much like Roczen in the 450s, Mosiman dominated the whoops. If he can clean up the rest of his riding, Mosiman could contend for race wins later in the season, given how important whoop speed is.

What’s truly remarkable, however, is that overall winner Jordan Smith only had one fastest sector in each of the three races. This highlights just how valuable clean starts and mistake-free riding can be. While the fastest riders faced adversity, Smith kept it clean and consistent, which ultimately earned him the overall win.

Main Event 1 Main Event 2 Main Event 3
Sector Rider Avg Time Rider Avg Time Rider Avg Time
1 Deegan 6.63 Deegan 6.68 Beaumer 6.66
2 Davies 8.38 Beaumer 8.49 Beaumer 8.42
3 Davies 8.03 Deegan 8.09 Smith 7.94
4 Deegan 7.84 Mosiman 7.88 Beaumer 7.95
5 Smith 6.80 Davies 7.96 Deegan 7.15
6 Mosiman 7.51 Mosiman 7.56 Mosiman 7.60
7 Mosiman 6.61 Smith 6.62 Beaumer 16.288
8 Deegan 9.58 Deegan 9.48


Lap Time Breakdown:

Unlike the 450s, the 250 class got progressively slower as the night went on, which is expected as the track breaks down. The lack of experience made it more challenging to push the pace as the track deteriorated, especially compared to the first main event. Despite this, consistency scores remained steady throughout the night, with the average rider scoring around 82 in all three main events.

250 Main Event 1:

RIDER Average
Time
Fastest
Time
LAP 99

Consistency

C. Davies 1:02.31 1:01.23 1:00.58 84.5
J. Smith 1:02.32 1:01.57 1:00.74 88.2
J. Beaumer 1:02.84 1:01.58 1:01.07 78.0
H. Deegan 1:02.88 1:01.20 1:00.48 80.2
G. Marchbanks 1:03.56 1:01.90 1:01.49 74.9

250 Main Event 2:

RIDER Average
Time
Fastest
Time
LAP 99

Consistency

C. Davies 1:02.91 1:02.18 1:01.77 89.7
J. Smith 1:03.07 1:02.08 1:01.63 82.8
H. Deegan 1:03.08 1:01.90 1:00.48 86.3
M. Mosiman 1:03.72 1:02.88 1:01.82 82.3
J. Beaumer 1:03.80 1:02.38 1:00.68 78.1

250 Main Event 3:

RIDER Average
Time
Fastest
Time
LAP 99

Consistency

J. Beaumer 1:02.83 1:02.06 1:01.11 87.4
J. Smith 1:02.92 1:02.40 1:01.31 90.6
H. Deegan 1:03.45 1:02.18 1:01.77 85.8
C. Davies 1:03.45 1:02.71 1:01.24 88.6
M. Mosiman 1:03.61 1:02.26 1:02.09 85.4

Top Performances:

Despite only winning the third race, Jordan Smith set the most fast laps of any 250 rider, recording 10 across all three races. He was followed closely by Deegan with 8. Interestingly, Julien Beaumer posted the fastest average lap time in Race 3 despite finishing 2nd in the race, beating Jordan Smith by a tenth of a second per lap—once again proving just how crucial starting position is.

Cole Davies made a name for himself last weekend with his first-ever podium, and this weekend, he aimed to back it up—and then some. The rookie looked dominant in his first two races, setting the fastest average lap time in each and leading against veteran Smith in Race 1 and Deegan in Race 2.

LITPro 10-Lap Consistency Scores:

Despite battling through the pack in Race 3, Cole Davies recorded the highest average consistency score of the night at 87.6. He was followed by overall winner Jordan Smith, further emphasizing the importance of maintaining consistency after the start. Bourdon rounded out the consistency podium with 86.4.

Only three riders managed to break 90 on the consistency score in a single main event—Bourdon in Race 1, and Jordan Smith and Billy Laninovich in Race 3.

Lap 99 Analysis:

*Lap 99 takes each riders' best segment time regardless of lap and combines them as a theoretical best lap time.

Based on all the best sector times throughout the night, the ultimate 250 lap time could have been around 1:00.2. Cole Davies and Haiden Deegan came remarkably close to this in Race 1, each setting a 1:01.2 lap—just one second off the theoretical best. This demonstrates how aggressively the 250 class pushes the limits. While the 450 class had nearly three seconds of potential improvement, the 250 class only had about one second, suggesting that the machines themselves may be the limiting factor.

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